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Ratings Help Page    
General
Overview    Advice     F.A.Q    

Creating Customised Ratings Settings
Stage 1
Step 1 - Race Points    Steps 2 & 3 - Prior/Subsequent Form     Step 4 - Top Official Racing in Race    Step 5 - Winning Official Racing in Race   
Stage 2
Step 6 - Placing v Runners Ratio    Step 7 - Distance Beaten     Step 8 - Weight received/given to winning horse     Step 9 - Importance of last 3 runs     Step 10 - Evaluate change in race categories   
Stage 3
Steps 11-16 Bonus Points   
Stage 4
Step 17 - Weight Comparison    Step 18 - Top Weight Comparison     Step 19 - Jockeys Claim    
Stages 5 & 6
Steps 20-25 - Jockeys/Trainers   
Stage 7
Step 26 - Jockey & Horse     Step 27 - Losing Timeframe    Step 28 - Career Runs   
Using The Ratings
Apply Settings    


Overview

The ratings are compiled using information about each horse in a race. By applying a score to several different tests you can create ratings based on factors such as weight, jockey and previous form. By combining all of these figures you can then produce an overall rating for each runner and analyse how to treat the race from a betting perspective.
By setting and saving different values for each of the tests, you are giving the HorseRaceBase database all the information it needs and from then on it will do all the hard work! This means for every race, every day you can call upon the ratings you wish to apply and instantly be provided with the analysis.


Advice

As with all elements of gambling on horse racing, it is vitally important to apply common sense when working with ratings. Here are some key factors to take into account.


Step 1 - Race Points

To start with we rate our overall impression of how good a race is, ranging from a Group 1 to a Class 7. Irish races other than Pattern Races need rated by prize value as they do not have a class system in place in Ireland. The amount quoted refers to prize money paid to the winner. The value you populate each dropdown with will be used in your final calculation.

Examples -

  • Setting a value at 0 will mean the race is worth nothing.
  • If you think a Class 6 race is worth 10 points more than a Class 7, reflect this by applying values appropriately.
  • The higher you rate a race the more points a horse who ran in it will receive.

Steps 2 & 3 - Prior/Subsequent Form

Next we add on additional points to our total race score, dependent upon how the horses in that race were placed previously and subsequently. By doing this we can treat a class 6 race with 7 previous winners, better than a class 6 with none.
It works as a simple calculation, so if you made your Prior Placing settings First=2, Second=1 and Third=0.5 then horseracbase will look at each horse's previous run and automatically calculate an additional score based on this. So in a race with 5 horses competing where 2 of the runners won last time out, 1 was second, 1 was third and the last was fourth, the additional score applied would be 5.5 ((2*2)+(1*1)+(1*0.5)+(1*0)). The same theory applies to subsequent winners with each of the horse's next runs being analysed. The value you populate each dropdown with be used in your final calculation.
Examples -

  • Setting First at 2 and Third at 3 means you value third placed form higher than first.
  • If a race had ten previous winners in it and ten subsequent winners and you had First set at 10 on both Prior and Subsequent then your Race Score will be increased by 200.

Step 4 - Top Official Rating in Last Race

This is an additional factor to take into account when judging the race score. Each horse in every race has an official rating allocated to it. The highest official rating in the race is what we take into account with this test. Whatever you set the multiplier dropdown to is what decides how many additional points are awarded to the race score. So if HorseA ran in a race with a 100 top rated horse and HorseB ran in one with a 120 rated horse and you had your multiplier set at 0.8, HorseA's race would have extra points of 80(100*0.8) added and HorseB's would add 96 (120*0.8). .

Examples -

  • Setting the multiplier at 0 will effectively ignore this test.
  • You should set the multiplier dependent on how important you feel this test is.
  • The higher the official rating in the race the more points will be added to the race score.
  • If no horse in the race has a rating (in maidens and NHF sometimes) the score added will be 0.

Step 5 - Winning Official Rating in Last Race

This is another factor to take into account when judging the race score. Each horse in every race has an official rating allocated to it. The winning horse's official rating mark in the race is what we take into account with this test. Whatever you set the multiplier dropdown to is what decides how many additional points are awarded to the race score. So if HorseA ran in a race which a horse with an OR of 50 won, while HorseB ran in one with a 100 rated winning horse and you had your multiplier set at 1, HorseA's race would have extra points of 50 added and HorseB's would add 100. .

Examples -

  • Setting the multiplier at 0 will effectively ignore this test.
  • You should set the multiplier dependent on how important you feel this test is.
  • The higher the official rating in the race the more points will be added to the race score.
  • If no horse in the race has a rating (in maidens and NHF sometimes) the score added will be 0.

Step 6 - Placing v Runners Ratio

With the Race Score calculated we now need to decide how much of the score should be awarded to the runners involved in the race. The way we do this is by working out the placing of the horse in relation to the number of runners. We do it this way because 2nd of 18 is normally better than 2nd of 3. The placing v runners ratio is worked out using the undernoted formula.

((Runners-Placing)*100)/Runners       You can view an excel table with the ratio scores listed
here.

Examples -

  • 4th of 14 scores more than 2nd of 4.
  • If your race score was 120 and you have set the appropriate percentage to 50% the horse will have initial points of 60.
  • If you set all as 100 then every horse will get 100% of the total race score (you could then deduct distance beaten?).

Step 7 - Distance Beaten

The next option is to deduct some points from the horses depending on how far they were beaten. This is because you may feel a horse who finished second but beaten only by a neck is worth more than one beaten by 50 lengths. The percentage you set will be deducted from the overall horse score. Alternatively you may want to deduct the exact number of lengths from a horses score (or the exact figure multiplied by your setting) - to do this tick the box which states this option and set the dropdown as you wish. By setting a value in the max deduction dropdown you can ensure that not too many points are deducted from the score.

Examples -

  • If you set 30% and your horse had score of 100, its new total will be 70.
  • Ticking the exact box and setting the dropdown as 5 would mean a horse beaten by 25 lengths would be deducted 125 points. If you had set the max deduction as 50, then only 50 points would be deducted.
  • Commonly it would make sense to deduct more points from those horses who finished further behind.

Step 8 - Weight received/given to winning horse

You may wish to award points dependent on the the weight the horse gave or received from the winning horse in the race. Here is where you can do so.

Examples -

  • If the winning horse gave the horse 5 pounds and multiplying factor was 1 then 5 points will be deducted.
  • If the winning horse received 5 pounds from your horse and multiplying factor was 1 then 5 points will be added.
  • If the horse won this test is effectively void, the same is true if your horse and the winner carried same weight

Step 9 - Importance of Last 3 Runs

Now, we have a rating for each of the horse's last 3 runs. You may however wish to put more significance on the last piece of form compared to its second & third last runs. To instigate this we can use a multiply factor for each of the last 3 pieces of form. Set the dropdowns as you see fit and the values will be used as multiplying factor of total score in the final ratings.

Examples -

  • Rating score of 100 and multiplying factor 1.5 gives rating 150.
  • If you had scores of 100, 200 and 300 with multiplying factors 1.75, 0.5 and 0.25, your new totals would be 175, 100, 75

Step 10 - Evaluate different race categories

As requested by many users we added this additional factor to the ratings process. You may feel a horse transferring from one sphere of racing to another is at an advantage/disadvantage. With this test we can take this into account. If you wish to include only like for like form, tick the box stating this. Otherwise each row in the table contains two race categories, the first being the type of race you are rating. Flat (Hurdle) means you are applying a multiplier for races run on the flat dictating how to treat runs over hurdles. So if a horse from a hurdles race has a score of 200 but is switching to the Flat and you have set the dropdown as 0.75 its new score will be 150.

Examples -

  • Ticking the 'like for like' box will overwrite the scoring boxes beneath.
  • If you do not want to change the race score set the dropdown as 1.
  • Setting the dropdown as 0 will give the score as 0 every time a race fits that criteria.
  • Setting the dropdown to anything below 1 will reduce the race score and over 1 will increase.

Steps 11-16 Bonus Points

Now we have a rating compiled for each of the horse's last three runs, its time to award some bonus points dependent on the horse's performance in some different tests we will carry out. Here we award points as we desire if the horse has ran to a certain standard over distance, going, track and within a certain number of days. Using the dropdowns to set values we can award points based on the horse's highest placing in each of our tests.

Examples -

  • You may wish to award a previous track winner 10 bonus points and a runner-up only 3.
  • The combined sum of each of the bonus tests provides the total bonus points towards the final rating.

Step 17 - Weight Comparison

With the weight comparison test, we can award further bonus points if the horse has ran to a certain level when carrying the weight it has today or higher in the same category of racing (National Hunt, Flat or All Weather). The purpose of this test is that it may be the case we feel a horse who has won when carrying the same weight is more likely to do so again than a horse who has not.

Examples -

  • If you set First to 10 points and all other values to 0, any horses who qualify will gain these points on non-qualifiers
  • It would appear sensible to award higher points to higher finishers.

Step 18 - Top Weight Comparison

With this setting we can award additional points to horses with less weight in the race. With the dropdown setting you can set a multiplying factor that will be used towards your final ratings. The value you set will be multiplied by the number of pounds the horse is receiving from the race topweight

Examples -

  • If you set 0.6 and a horse has a weight of 10-1 compared to race topweight 10-11 then it will receive 6 bonus points.
  • The race topweight will never receive any bonus points in this test as it is that weight we are comparing to.

Step 19 - Jockeys Claim

Here we can award points to horses who have a jockey on board who is receiving a weight allowance. By setting a value as a multiplying factor we can use this score towards our final rating.

Examples -

  • Setting value as 0.4 will mean a horse with jockey who is receiving a 7lb claim will be awarded 2.8 bonus points.

Steps 20-25 - Jockeys/Trainers

To compile our Jockey & Trainer ratings we carry out three tests based on their performance in different circumstances. These tests are not going to definitely highlight who has the best ability but they will highlight who is performing well at three very different levels. The first test judges them on their strike rate when riding/sending out a horse that has favouritism status. You may be surprised by some of the results here, but this is because of 'false-favourites' where a horse leads the market based purely on the jockey/trainer. The second test judges strike rate when horse is not favourite but priced under 10/1 (horses with a realistic chance) and the third is for strike rate when horse is between 10/1 & 40/1 (outsiders). This test doesnt include horses priced 50/1 or higher as more often than not, these horses have no hope. The total score for each of the three tests combines to make the total jockey & trainer ratings.

Examples -

  • The higher the strike rate, the better the performance.
  • Setting the highest strike rate in each case to 10 means a perfect score will be 30 points.

Step 26 - Jockey & Horse

If you wish to award bonus points to a horse who has a jockey on board that has won on him/her before, here is where to do it! Its a simple test but one you may see as important, whatever you set the dropdown as will be awarded as additional points to any horse with a jockey on board that has previously won when riding him/her.


Step 27 - Losing Timeframe

With this option we can deduct points based on when the horse last won a race. This is useful if you feel a horse is more likely to win if he has got his head in front recently. Set the dropdowns accordingly and if a horse falls into the bracket it will be deducted these points from its total score.


Step 28 - Career Runs

This option was suggested by a subscriber. Here you can award points to horses who have had a certain number of runners. For example you may feel a horse who has only ran twice is more likely to improve than one who has ran 20 times.


Apply Settings

When you saved your own ratings and gave a name to them, you done so in order that you could call on them easily. A box appears above your ratings and in the dropdown all of your ratings settings are stored. To choose which set of ratings you wish to use, simply highlight them and press Go. Confirmation of which set of ratings are currently in use is displayed in red at the top of the page.





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