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Overview    Advice     F.A.Q     Creating Customised Ratings Settings Stage 1 Step 1 - Race Points    Steps 2 & 3 - Prior/Subsequent Form     Step 4 - Top Official Racing in Race    Step 5 - Winning Official Racing in Race    Stage 2 Step 6 - Placing v Runners Ratio    Step 7 - Distance Beaten     Step 8 - Weight received/given to winning horse     Step 9 - Importance of last 3 runs     Step 10 - Evaluate change in race categories    Stage 3 Steps 11-16 Bonus Points    Stage 4 Step 17 - Weight Comparison    Step 18 - Top Weight Comparison     Step 19 - Jockeys Claim     Stages 5 & 6 Steps 20-25 - Jockeys/Trainers    Stage 7 Step 26 - Jockey & Horse     Step 27 - Losing Timeframe    Step 28 - Career Runs    Using The Ratings Apply Settings     Overview
The ratings are compiled using information about each horse in a race. By applying a score
to several different tests you can create ratings based on factors such as weight, jockey
and previous form. By combining all of these figures you can then produce an overall rating for each runner and analyse
how to treat the race from a betting perspective. Advice
As with all elements of gambling on horse racing, it is vitally important to apply common sense
when working with ratings. Here are some key factors to take into account.
Step 1 - Race Points
To start with we rate our overall impression of how good a race is, ranging from a Group 1 to
a Class 7. Irish races other than Pattern Races need rated by prize value as they do not have
a class system in place in Ireland. The amount quoted refers to prize money paid to the winner.
The value you populate each dropdown with will be used in your final calculation.
Steps 2 & 3 - Prior/Subsequent Form
Next we add on additional points to our total race score, dependent upon how the horses
in that race were placed previously and subsequently.
By doing this we can treat a class 6 race with 7 previous winners, better than a class 6 with none.
Step 4 - Top Official Rating in Last Race
This is an additional factor to take into account when judging the race score. Each horse in every race has an official rating allocated to it.
The highest official rating in the race is what we take into account with this test. Whatever you set the multiplier dropdown to is what decides
how many additional points are awarded to the race score. So if HorseA ran in a race with a 100 top rated horse and HorseB ran in one with a
120 rated horse and you had your multiplier set at 0.8, HorseA's race would have extra points of 80(100*0.8) added and HorseB's would add 96 (120*0.8). .
Step 5 - Winning Official Rating in Last Race
This is another factor to take into account when judging the race score. Each horse in every race has an official rating allocated to it.
The winning horse's official rating mark in the race is what we take into account with this test. Whatever you set the multiplier dropdown to is what decides
how many additional points are awarded to the race score. So if HorseA ran in a race which a horse with an OR of 50 won, while HorseB ran in one with a
100 rated winning horse and you had your multiplier set at 1, HorseA's race would have extra points of 50 added and HorseB's would add 100. .
Step 6 - Placing v Runners Ratio
With the Race Score calculated we now need to decide how much of the score should be awarded to the runners involved
in the race. The way we do this is by working out the placing of the horse in relation to the number
of runners. We do it this way because 2nd of 18 is normally better than 2nd of 3. The placing v runners ratio is worked out using the undernoted formula.
Step 7 - Distance Beaten
The next option is to deduct some points from the horses depending on how far they were beaten.
This is because you may feel a horse who finished second but beaten only by a neck is worth more
than one beaten by 50 lengths. The percentage you set will be deducted from the overall horse score.
Alternatively you may want to deduct the exact number of lengths from a horses score (or the exact figure multiplied by your setting) - to do this
tick the box which states this option and set the dropdown as you wish. By setting a value in the max deduction dropdown you can ensure that not too
many points are deducted from the score.
Step 8 - Weight received/given to winning horseYou may wish to award points dependent on the the weight the horse gave or received
from the winning horse in the race. Here is where you can do so.
Step 9 - Importance of Last 3 RunsNow, we have a rating for each of the horse's last 3 runs. You may however wish to put more
significance on the last piece of form compared to its second & third last runs. To instigate this
we can use a multiply factor for each of the last 3 pieces of form. Set the dropdowns as you see fit
and the values will be used as multiplying factor of total score in the final ratings.
Step 10 - Evaluate different race categories
As requested by many users we added this additional factor to the ratings process. You may feel a horse transferring from one sphere of racing to another
is at an advantage/disadvantage. With this test we can take this into account. If you wish to include only like for like form, tick the box
stating this. Otherwise each row in the table contains two race categories, the first being
the type of race you are rating. Flat (Hurdle) means you are applying a multiplier for races run on the flat dictating how to treat runs over hurdles.
So if a horse from a hurdles race has a score of 200 but is switching to the Flat and you have set the dropdown as 0.75 its new score will be 150.
Steps 11-16 Bonus Points
Now we have a rating compiled for each of the horse's last three runs, its time to award some bonus points dependent on the horse's performance
in some different tests we will carry out. Here we award points as we desire if the horse has ran to a certain standard
over distance, going, track and within a certain number of days.
Using the dropdowns to set values we can award points based on the horse's highest placing in each of our tests.
Step 17 - Weight Comparison
With the weight comparison test, we can award further bonus points if the horse has ran to a certain level when carrying
the weight it has today or higher in the same category of racing (National Hunt, Flat or All Weather). The purpose of this test is that
it may be the case we feel a horse who has won when carrying the same weight is more likely to do so again than a horse who has not.
Step 18 - Top Weight Comparison
With this setting we can award additional points to horses with less weight in the race.
With the dropdown setting you can set a multiplying factor that will be used towards your final ratings. The value you set will be multiplied by the number of pounds the horse is receiving from the race topweight
Step 19 - Jockeys Claim
Here we can award points to horses who have a jockey on board who is receiving a weight allowance.
By setting a value as a multiplying factor we can use this score towards our final rating.
Steps 20-25 - Jockeys/Trainers
To compile our Jockey & Trainer ratings we carry out three tests based on their performance in
different circumstances. These tests are not going to definitely highlight who has the best ability
but they will highlight who is performing well at three very different levels.
The first test judges them on their strike rate when riding/sending out a horse that has
favouritism status. You may be surprised by some of the results here, but this is because of 'false-favourites' where
a horse leads the market based purely on the jockey/trainer. The second test judges strike rate
when horse is not favourite but priced under 10/1 (horses with a realistic chance) and the third
is for strike rate when horse is between 10/1 & 40/1 (outsiders). This test doesnt include horses
priced 50/1 or higher as more often than not, these horses have no hope. The total score for each of the three tests
combines to make the total jockey & trainer ratings.
Step 26 - Jockey & HorseIf you wish to award bonus points to a horse who has a jockey on board that has won on him/her before, here is where to do it! Its a simple test but one you may see as important, whatever you set the dropdown as will be awarded as additional points to any horse with a jockey on board that has previously won when riding him/her. Step 27 - Losing TimeframeWith this option we can deduct points based on when the horse last won a race. This is useful if you feel a horse is more likely to win if he has got his head in front recently. Set the dropdowns accordingly and if a horse falls into the bracket it will be deducted these points from its total score. Step 28 - Career RunsThis option was suggested by a subscriber. Here you can award points to horses who have had a certain number of runners. For example you may feel a horse who has only ran twice is more likely to improve than one who has ran 20 times. Apply SettingsWhen you saved your own ratings and gave a name to them, you done so in order that you could call on them easily. A box appears above your ratings and in the dropdown all of your ratings settings are stored. To choose which set of ratings you wish to use, simply highlight them and press Go. Confirmation of which set of ratings are currently in use is displayed in red at the top of the page. |
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